Showing posts with label Cognitive Science. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cognitive Science. Show all posts

 


"Nudge" by Richard H. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein is a book that explores the concept of nudges and how they can be used to influence people's choices for the better. A nudge refers to any aspect of the choice architecture that alters people's behavior in a predictable way without forbidding any options or significantly changing their economic incentives.

Richard H. Thaler (b. 1945) is a professor of Behavioral Science and Economics at the University of Chicago. Cass R. Sunstein (b. 1954) is a professor at Harvard Law School and serves as an advisor to president Barack Obama.




Summary & Key Learnings

The book argues that small changes in the way choices are presented can have a significant impact on people's decisions. By understanding the two systems that drive human thinking—the automatic system (quick and instinctual) and the reflective system (slow and deliberate)—the authors explain how human behavior is influenced by both conscious and unconscious factors.

Thaler and Sunstein introduce the concept of libertarian paternalism, which suggests that it is possible to influence people's behavior in a way that improves their overall well-being without limiting their freedom of choice. They believe policymakers have a responsibility to design choice architectures that nudge individuals toward better decisions.

Throughout the book, the authors present various examples and case studies to illustrate how nudges can be applied in different contexts. They discuss topics such as encouraging saving through the Save More Tomorrow program, improving school choices for parents, personalising social security investments, and even privatising marriage contracts.

The key premise of the book is that by carefully designing the choice architecture and considering the automatic and reflective systems at play, policymakers can help people make better decisions in areas such as finance, health, education, and more. The book advocates for the use of nudges to create an environment that leads to improved outcomes and individual well-being.


We often make bad decisions based on either too little or overly complex information.

Why do we so often make decisions that aren’t really the best choices for us? In many cases, we simply have too little or too much information, or we can’t foresee the consequences of our actions. It’s only when we have, and can process, the right amount of information that we are in a place to make rational decisions.

For example, when we have to choose an ice cream flavor at an ice cream shop, we usually make that decision rather quickly. We see which flavors there are and we know from experience that strawberry ice cream tastes better than mango, i.e., we have all the necessary information and can process it rapidly.

However, we feel differently in more serious situations, like when deciding whether to take out a loan. After all, there are all different kinds of loans: purchases on account, deferrals, consumer loans, securities, preliminary financing, interim financing, and many more. Some of them have a fixed interest rate, others a variable; all of them have different additional costs. And this information isn’t exactly laid out in plain writing. Usually, it’s hidden in the small print on the bright and colorful advertisement.

In other words, even when we are privy to all the relevant information, it can still be difficult to sort it all out and compare the services objectively. Situations like this can make us feel completely overwhelmed.


Human beings act mainly on gut feelings.

When we see a laughing baby, we can’t help but smile. That “decision” to smile is made unconsciously; our response occurs entirely on its own. But when we want to figure out the answer to 347 x 12, we confront this task in a conscious way, because finding the answer requires an effort and takes some time. These examples illustrate two different systems of thought: In the case of the baby, we are using our Automatic System, i.e., our gut instinct. In the case of the math problem, we are using the rational or Reflective System. We don’t have the time or energy to reflect upon every little action we take on an average day, which is why we often let our Automatic System govern our actions. It works well a lot of the time – but not all the time.

Grounded in simplifications, the Automatic System is often supported by a weak scaffolding of spontaneous emotions and subjective experiences. For instance, when we estimate our own likelihood of suffering from a stroke, the first thing we think about is the amount of people we know who’ve already had one. If we don’t know anybody who’s had a stroke, we automatically assume that there’s only a low risk that we’ll have one. And so, even if our own risk is actually extremely high, we don’t take any precautions. In other words, our gut feeling has led us first to a misjudgment and then to an unwise decision.


Sometimes we make faulty decisions because we succumb to temptation or act without thinking.

If you offer a long-time smoker a cigarette while she’s in the process of quitting, it’ll be difficult for her to resist the temptation. Although she’d like to quit and knows how bad it is for her, she’ll probably end up bumming a smoke. The reason for this unwise response is a lack of will: despite her intentions, the temptation is simply too great. A certain degree of thoughtlessness also takes hold of us in such situations.

For example, experiments have shown that bigger portions cause us to eat more. If we have a big portion in front of us, we eat more of it than we should – even if it doesn’t taste good. In one experiment, researchers sent their test subjects to the movies. Before they entered the theater, the subjects received a bag of stale popcorn – half got a small bag, the other half a medium-sized bag. Although most of the participants later stated that the stale popcorn didn’t taste good, they ate a lot of it anyway – and the people with the big bags ate even more of theirs.


Some companies exploit the human tendency to make the wrong decisions.

If companies want to be successful, they have to sell products and earn profits. And to do that, they have to fulfill their customers’ needs. Whether that has positive or negative consequences on customers doesn’t matter to some companies – their main concern is whether customers are buying. Sometimes companies don’t just satisfy the needs that customers already have – they can create new needs in their customers too.

For example, many people can’t help themselves in the face of temptation and don’t think twice about the consequences when making spur-of-the-moment decisions. Companies use this knowledge to tempt their customers into buying more than they originally intended. This is the core approach of companies that promote XXL-sized portions instead of normal ones, and the availability of these over-sized portions is one of the reasons why so many people eat far too much.

Trial subscriptions to periodicals are another case where companies exploit human weakness. You can sign up and receive the periodical for free for a certain amount of time, but, if you don’t terminate your subscription within the cancellation period, it is automatically renewed, and you continue receiving the periodical – and paying for it.


Nudges are subtle changes in context that help us avoid making bad decisions.

How can we keep ourselves from making the wrong decisions? With nudges, or little pushes in the right direction. Nudges are not “no-nos” or clever advertising messages. Rather, they are subtle actions that make it easier for us to act in the way that is best for us without dictating a specific behavior. Simply put, nudges leave us free rein while making it easier for us to choose the right thing. Displaying fruit in clearly visible spots and putting junk food in less prominent ones in a cafeteria is a nudge: we have the choice between buying an apple and a candy bar, but the arrangement of the products prompts us to go for the healthier apple.

Of course, nudges can also be used for less righteous purposes, e.g., by companies who want to suggest certain purchasing decisions. Companies have been using nudges for a long time – in supermarkets, for example, the shelves at eye level usually contain the most expensive goods. But the example of the fruit being prominently displayed in the cafeteria shows that nudges can also help people choose healthier and better alternatives.



Defaults are highly effective nudges that cause people to automatically do what’s best for them.

Considering that we don’t rack our brains every time we make a decision, decision-making situations should be designed so that automatic responses produce a positive outcome. The e-mail service Gmail does just that with its attachment reminder. If words like “please find attached” are written in e-mail text but no file has been attached, the e-mail program automatically recognises it and asks the user, “Did you want to send an attachment?” This little nudge can save people a lot of time and trouble.

Companies could choose a similar system to assist their employees to make wise decisions about, e.g., enrolling in company pension-scheme programs. Since most people are naturally inclined to laziness and don’t really want to change their status quo, enrolling in a company pension-scheme program should not be optional. It would be much better to set up the program so that all employees are automatically enrolled in the scheme – and have to explicitly object if they do not want to be. Companies should choose defaults guaranteeing that employees do the right thing even when the employees do nothing at all.


Nudges are most useful when we have too many choices or when the future is at stake.

The most opportune time to use nudges is in situations where it’s particularly difficult for us to make the right decisions. Making the wrong decision is easy when we have an immediate pay-off and don’t feel the negative consequences until later. We take that second piece of cake and drink that cocktail after work because they give us pleasure in the moment and we only feel the negative effects later – when we step on a scale at the end of the month, or wake up the next morning with a headache.

Another cause of bad decision-making is when we don’t have previous experiences to refer to. At some point or another, we have to decide on which insurance company we want to use. Since we only make this decision once or twice in our lives, we can’t refer to earlier experiences to assess which insurance company would be best for us. And even after choosing a health insurance company, there is yet another decision to be made: which policy? For example, if an insurance company offers many different policies, but some customers who just want general coverage are having difficulty choosing which policy would be best for them, the company could offer a recommended “default policy” – say, one that covers more than 80% of a person’s entire medical costs. This helps the less insurance-savvy customers choose a policy that covers a wide range of treatments for the most common medical problems.



Many people use nudges to achieve their goals.

At the end of each year, many of us come to the conclusion that, yet again, we didn’t manage to stick to our New Year’s resolutions: the number on the scale is higher than last year and the ashtray is still full. And yet some people are successful. How did they do it? Generally, the people who are able to stick to their resolutions do so by using nudges to keep them from making the wrong decisions throughout the year: they place bets with their friends, take advantage of public weigh-ins, or use Internet programs tailored to help them monitor their progress and stay on target.

On the website Stickk.com, more than 100,000 people have signed so called commitment contracts with themselves to achieve their goals. After signing up on the website, you state your goal, set milestones with specific deadlines, and have the option to put money on your success. If you achieve your goal, you get your money back. If not, your money goes to whatever institution or person you initially selected (one particularly motivating recipient, for example, might be the rival team of your favorite football team). This successful website is an example of how nudges can be harnessed to help you modify your behavior and fulfill your ambitions.



States and other institutions should use nudges to encourage wise decisions.

Nudges encourage individuals to make better decisions – and this often benefits more than just the individual alone. An entire society benefits when the majority of its members make wise decisions. If fewer people smoke or are overweight, healthcare costs decrease – and everybody wins.

Even though a nudge may cost us something at first, the longer term benefits are generally not long in coming. In the area of environmental protection, the mere act of instating a public obligation to report carbon emissions has the power to change peoples’ behavior. This obligation doesn’t explicitly forbid companies to exceed a certain limit of pollutant emissions. Instead, it acts as a nudge by creating incentives to voluntarily cut down on emissions (especially because environmentalists frequently use such information to publicly denounce polluters). The reporting obligation thus creates a sort of emission-cutting competition – without using any legal coercion.

As the dollar-a-day program shows, nudges can also reduce the amount of unwanted teenage pregnancies. Many young mothers who’ve already had a child as a teenager often get pregnant again shortly thereafter. In order to tackle this issue, several US cities pay teenage mothers one dollar for every day they don’t get pregnant. This program is actually cheaper for taxpayers than the costs of supporting the children of the young mothers.

Companies also use nudges to keep their customers from making mistakes. If we forget to put on our seat belt in a car, the car beeps at us until we buckle up. If our gas tank is almost empty, a warning light blinks to remind us to stop and fill it up. These little things don’t force us to fasten our seat belts or fill our gas tanks: they do, however, prevent us from accidentally forgetting.


People often make unwise decisions, but the slightest of changes – so-called nudges – can give people incentives to make better decisions. That’s why countries and private institutions should also use nudges.

The questions this book answered:

How and why do we make the wrong decisions?
  • We don’t always make decisions that are best for us in the long run.
  • We often make bad decisions based on either too little or overly complex information.
  • Human beings act mainly on gut feelings.
  • Sometimes we make faulty decisions because we succumb to temptation or act without thinking.
  • Some companies exploit the human tendency to make the wrong decisions.

How can nudges help us deal with this problem?
  • Nudges are subtle changes in context that help us avoid making bad decisions.
  • Defaults are highly effective nudges that cause people to automatically do what’s best for them.
  • Nudges are most useful when we have too many choices or when the future is at stake.

How can each and every one of us use nudges?
  • Many people use nudges to achieve their goals.
  • States and other institutions should use nudges to encourage wise decisions.


 

'Influence' explains in detail the fundamental principles of persuasion. How do you get people to say yes? How do other people get you to say yes? How are you manipulated by sleek salesmen, clever marketing folks and sneaky confidence tricksters? This book will help you understand the psychology behind their techniques, enabling you to unleash your own persuasive powers, while also defending against their tactics of manipulation.

Influence has been authored by Robert B. Cialdini, PhD a Professor Emeritus of Psychology and Marketing at Arizona State University. He also acted as a visiting professor at Stanford University and the University of California at Santa Cruz. Influence is based on 35 years of evidence-based research into the phenomena of influence, manipulation and persuasion. Dr. Cialdini also runs a consultancy based on teaching and implementing the ethical business applications of his research.




Summary & Key Learnings

Chapter 1 - Levers of Influence: (Power) Tools of the Trades
Chapter 2 - Reciprocation: The Old Give and Take
Chapter 3 - Liking: The Friendly Thief
Chapter 4 - Social Proof: Truths Are Us
Chapter 5 - Authority: Directed Deference
Chapter 6 - Scarcity: The Rule of the Few
Chapter 7 - Commitment and Consistency: Hobgoblins of the Mind
Chapter 8 - Unity: The "We" Is the Shared Me
Chapter 9 - Instant Influence: Primitive Consent for an Automatic Age

This book teaches you the 6 fundamental principles of manipulation and the most relevant persuasion techniques that compliance professionals employ. It will help you defend yourself from deceit, but also put these techniques to use yourself, should you need to flex some persuasive muscle. In many situations, we humans like to avoid thinking about how we should react by using predictable shortcuts to guide our decisions. Compliance professionals like advertisers, con artists and salespeople take advantage of these preprogrammed human reactions to elicit the response that’s in their best interests, not ours. Specifically, they leverage the principles of reciprocation, scarcity, consistency, social proof, liking and authority. Since we cannot stop using these shortcuts that mostly serve us well, we must instead learn to defend ourselves against the manipulators who abuse them.


Chapter 1 - Levers of Influence: (Power) Tools of the Trades

Ethologist, researchers who study animal behavior in the natural environment, have noticed that among many animal species, behaviour often occurs in rigid and mechanical patterns. Called fixed-action patterns, these mechanical sequences are noteworthy in their similarity to certain automatic responses by humans. For both humans and subhumans, the automatic-behaviour patterns tend to be triggered by a single feature, or trigger feature, can often prove valuable by allowing an individual to decide on a correct course of action without having to analyse carefully and completely each of the other pieces of information in the situation.

The advantage of such shortcut responding lies in its efficiency and economy; by reacting automatically to a normally informative trigger feature, an individual preserves crucial time, energy, and mental capacity. The disadvantage of such responding lies in its vulnerability to silly and costly mistakes; by reacting to only a piece of the available information (enven a usually predictive piece), an individual increases the chances of error, especially when responding in an automatic, mindless fashion. The chances of error increase even further when other individuals seek to profit by arranging (through manipulation of trigger features) ti stimulate a desired behaviour at inappropriate times.

Since dealing with the complexities of life means having to rely on shortcuts, we must identify and defend ourselves against the manipulators who would trick us into wrongly using those shortcuts. The following chapters introduce the 6 basic psychological principles that we use as shortcuts, and which can be exploited for persuasion which are: reciprocation, scarcity, consistency, social proof, liking and authority.

Perceptual contrast is the tendency to see 2 things that are different from one another as being more different than they actually are. It is a lever of influence used by some compliance practitioners. For example, real estate agents may show prospective home buyers one or 2 unattractive options before showing them a more attractive home, which then seems more attractive than it would have if shown first. An advantage of employing this lever of influence is that its tactical use typically goes unrecognised.


Chapter 2 - Reciprocation: The Old Give and Take

According to sociologists and anthropologists, one of the most widespread and basic norms of human culture is embodied in the rule of reciprocation. The rule requires that one person try to repay, in form, what another person has provided. By obligating the recipient of an act to repayment in the future, the rule allows one individual to give something to another with confidence that it is not being lost. This rule forms the foundation of all societies, for it allowed our ancestors to share resources, safe in the knowledge that they would be reciprocated later. 

And if someone does us a favor and we do not return it, we feel a psychological burden. This is partially because, as a society, we are disdainful of those who do not reciprocate favors; we label them as moochers or ingrates and fear being labeled as such ourselves. The desire to reciprocate is intense that people are so keen to rid themselves of the burden of reciprocity that they will often perform much larger favors in return for small ones.

So how can you fight back?

Reciprocity plays a fundamental role in the way societies and social relationships work, so you can’t forego the principle entirely. But you can learn to identify and resist deliberate attempts to abuse it.

Start by getting into the habit of asking yourself if the favors you receive are really genuine, or if they could be attempts to manipulate you. Think about whether you actually want to donate your money to that nonprofit organization, or if you only feel obliged because they handed you a gift on the street. And don’t worry about not reciprocating “favors” that are really manipulation attempts in disguise; favors warrant favors in return, but tricks do not.


Chapter 3 - Liking: The Friendly Thief

People prefer to say yes to individuals they like. Recognising this rule, compliance professionals commonly increase their effectiveness by emphasising several factors that increase their overall likability.

One feature is physical attractiveness.
Although i has long been suspected that physical beauty provides an advantage in social interaction, research indicates the advantage may be greater than supposed. Physical attractiveness engenders a halo-effect that leads to the assignment of other traits such as talent, kindness, and intelligence. As a result, attractive people are more persuasive both in terms of getting what they request and changing others' attitudes. 

A second factor that influences liking and compliance is similarity.
We like people who are like us, and we are more willing to say yes to their requests, often in an unthinking manner. 

Another factor is praise.
Compliments generally enhance liking and, hence, compliance. 2 particularly useful types of genuine compliments are those delivered behind the recipient's back and those selected to give the recipient a reputation to live up to, by continuing to perform the desired behaviour.

Increased familiarity through repeated contact with a person or thing is yet another factor that normally facilitates liking. 
This relationship hold true principally when the contact takes place under positive rather than negative circumstances. One positive circumstance that works especially well is mutual and successful cooperation. A fifth factor linked to liking is association. By connecting themselves on their products with positive things, advertisers, politicians, and merchandisers frequently seek to share in the positivity through the process of association. Other individuals as well (sports fans for example) appear to recognised the positive effect of simple connections and try to associate themselves with favorable events and distance themselves from unfavorable events in the eyes of observers.

How do we protect ourselves against likability manipulation? 
A good step is to ask ourselves whether we have come to like someone or something unusually strongly in a short time. If so, this could be due to some form of manipulation, and alarm bells should ring.


Chapter 4 - Social Proof: Truths Are Us

The principle of social proof states that one important means people use to decide what to believe or how to act in a situation is to examine what others are believing or doing there. The principle of social proof can be used to stimulate a person's compliance with a request by communicating that many other individuals (the more, the better) are or have been complying with it. Therefore, simply pointing to the popularity of an item elevates its popularity.

Social proof is most influential under 3 conditions:

1st condition is uncertainty.
When people are unsure, when the situation is ambiguous, they are more likely to attend to the actions of others and to accept those actions as correct. In ambiguous situations, for instance, the decisions of bystanders to offer emergency aid are much more influenced by the actions of other bystanders than when the situation is a clear-cut emergency.

2nd condition under which social proof is most influential involves "The many."
People are more inclined to follow the lead of others in proportion to the others' number. When we see multiple other performing an action, we become willing to follow because the action appears to be more (1) correct/valid, (2) feasible, and (3) socially acceptable.

3rd condition is similarity.
People conform to the beliefs and actions of comparable others, especially their peers - a phenomenon we can call peer-suasion. 

When communicators are not able to use existing social proof because their idea, cause, or product does not have widespread support, they may be able to harness the power of future social proof by honestly describing trending support, which audiences expect to continue.

Recommendations to reduce our susceptibility to faulty social, proof include cultivating a sensitivity to counterfeit evidence of what similar others are doing and recognising that the actions of similar others should not form the sole basis for our decisions.


Chapter 5 - Authority: Directed Deference

Renowned psychologist Stanley Milgram conducted a study in the 1960s showing that volunteers would administer potentially lethal electric shocks to others simply because they were told to do so by an authority figure. Although no one was harmed, the experimenters were surprised by the results. In the Milgram studies, we see evidence of strong pressures for compliance with the requests of an authority. Acting contrary to their own preferences, many normal, psychologically healthy individuals were willing to deliver dangerous levels of pain to another person because they were directed to do so by an authority figure. 

From birth, we’re taught to always obey figures of authority, be they teachers, doctors or police officers. Unfortunately, this tendency to comply with authority is so ingrained and powerful that we don’t bother to think or challenge perceived authority figures before obeying them. It is adaptive to obey the dictates of genuine authorities because such individuals usually possess high levels of knowledge, wisdom, and power. For these reasons, deference to authorities can occur in a mindless fashion as a kind of decision-making shortcut.

When reacting to authority in an automatic fashion, people have a tendency to do so in response to mere symbols of authority rather than to its substance. 3 kinds of symbols effective in this regard are titles, clothing, and trappings such as automobiles. In studies, individuals possessing prestigious forms of one or another of the symbole (and no other legitimising credentials) were accorded more deference or obedience by those they encountered.

Authority influence flows from being viewed as either in authority or an authority. But the first of these types, merely being in charge, has its problems. Ordering people to do things often generates resistance and resentment. The second type of authority, being viewed as highly informed, avoids this problems, as people are usually willing follow the recommendations of someone who knows more than they do on the matter at hand.

The persuasive effect of being seen as an authority is maximised by also being seens as a credible such authority - one perceived as both expert (knowledgeable on the relevant topic) and trustworthy (honest in the presentation of one's knowledge). To estable their trustworthiness, communicators may admit to a (usually minor) shortcoming of their case, which ca be swept aside later by the presentation of outweighing strengths.

It is possible to defend ourselves against the detrimental effects of authority influence by asking 2 questions:

Is this authority truly an expert?
How truthful can we expect this expert to be?

The first directs our attention away from symbols and toward evidence for authority status. 
The second advises us to consider not just the expert's knowledge in the situation by also his or her trustworthiness. With regard to this second consideration, we should be alert to the trust-enhancing tactic in which communicators first provide mildly negative information about themselves. Through this strategy, they create a perception of honesty that makes all subsequent information seem more believable to observers. 


Chapter 6 - Scarcity: The Rule of the Few

According to the scarcity principle, people assign more value to opportunities that are less available. The use of this principle for profit can be seen in such compliance techniques as the "limited number" and "deadline" tactics, wherein practitioners try to convince us that if we don't act now, we will lose something of value. This engages the human tendency for loss aversion - that people are more motivated by the thought of losing something than by the thought of gaining something of equal value.

When does scarcity become a powerful influence on our decision-making?

Two conditions need to be fulfilled:

  1. First, we tend to want something more if its availability has decreased recently than if it has remained steady over time. This is why revolutions tend to happen when living conditions deteriorate sharply rather than when they are consistently low; the sudden drop increases people’s desire for something better, so they take to the streets.
  2. Second, competition always sets our hearts racing. Whether in auctions, romances or real-estate deals, the thought of losing something to a rival often turns us from reluctant to overzealous. This is why, for example, real estate agents often mention to buyers that several other bidders are also interested in a given house, whether true or not. In fact, a competitive situation can induce a “feeding frenzy” for a scarce good, even among seasoned negotiators.

To counter the eagerness that arises from scarcity, we should always consider whether we want the item in question because of its use to us (for example, its taste or function), or merely because of an irrational wish to possess it. When scarcity is being used against us, the answer will often be the latter.


Chapter 7 - Commitment and Consistency: Hobgoblins of the Mind

Psychologists have long recognised a desire in most people to be and look consistent within their words, attitudes, and deeds. This tendency for consistency is fed from 3 sources. 
  1. First, good personal consistency is highly valued by society.
  2. Second, aside from its effect on public image, generally consistent conduct provides a beneficial approach to daily life.
  3. Third, a consistent orientation affords a valuable shortcut through the complexity of modern existence. By being consistent with earlier decisions, one reduces the need to process all the relevant information in future similar situations; instead, one merely needs to recall the earlier decision and to respond consistently with it.
Within the realm of compliance, securing an initial commitment is the key. After making a commitment (that is, taking an action, stand, or position), people are more willing to agree to requests in keeping with the prior commitment. Thus, many compliance professionals try to induce people to take an initial position that is consistent with a behaviour they will later request from these people. Not all commitments are equally effective in producing consistent future action. Commitments are most effective when they are active, public, effortful, and viewed as internally motivated (voluntary), because each of these elements changes self-image. The reason they do so is that each element gives us information about what we must truly believe.

Commitment decisions, even erroneous ones, have a tendency to be self-perpetuating because they can "grow their own legs." That is, people often add new reasons and justifications to support the wisdom of commitments they have already made. As a consequence, some commitments remain in effect long after the conditions that spurred them have changed. This phenomenon explains the effectiveness of certain deceptive compliance practices such as "throwing the low-ball."

Another advantage of commitment-based tactics is that simple reminder of an earlier commitment can regenerate its ability to guide behaviour, even in novel situations. In addition, reminders do more than restore the commitment's vigor, they appear to intensify it by strengthening one's related self-image.

To recognise and resist the undue influence of consistency pressures on our compliance decisions, we should listen for signals coming from 2 places within us: our stomachs and our heart or hearts. 

  • Stomach signs - appear when we realise we are being pushed by commitment and consistency pressures to agree to requests we know we don't want to perform. Under these circumstances, it is best to explain to the requester that such compliance would constitute a brand of foolish consistency in which re prefer not to engage.
  • Heart-of-heart signs - are different. They are best employed when it is not clear to us that an initial commitment was wrongheaded. Here, we should ask ourselves a crucial question: "Knowing what I now know, if I could go back in time, would I make the same commitment?" One informative answer may come as the first flash of feeling registered. 

Commitment and consistency tactics are likely to work especially well on members of individualistic societies, particularly those who are over 50 years old, who, hence, should be particularly wary of their use. 


Chapter 8 - Unity: The "We" Is the Shared Me

People say yes to someone they consider one of them. The experience of "we"-ness (unity) with others is about shared identities - tribe-like categories that individuals use to define themselves and their groups, such as race, ethnicity, nationality, and family, as well as political and religious affiliations.

Research into "we"-groups has produced 3 general conclusions.
  1. Members of these groups favour the outcomes and welfare of fellow members over those of nonmembers,
  2. "We"-group members also use the preferences and actions of fellow members to guide their own, which enhances group solidarity.
  3. Finally, such partisan tendencies have arisen, evolutionarily, as ways to advantage our "we"-groups and, ultimately, ourselves.
These 3 constants have surfaced in a wide range of domains, including business, politics, sports, and personal relationships.

The perception of belonging together with others is one fundamental factor leading to feelings of "we"-ness. This perception is generated by commonalities of kinship (amount of genetic overlap) as well as by commonalities of place (including one's home, locality, and region). 

The experience of acting together in unison or coordination is a second fundamental factor leading to a sense of unity with others. Shared musical experience is one way people can act together and feel consequent unity. Other ways involve repeated reciprocal exchange, joint suffering, and co-creation.

It may be possible to use the unifying effects of belonging together and acting together to increase the odds of getting together as a species. It would require choosing to share, with out-group members, family experiences in our communities, and friendship experiences in our social interactions.

Other kinds of connections involving national identity, mutual enemies, joint emotional experience, and shared perspective can also lead to feelings of unity with out-group members; unfortunately, they are often short-lived. However, focusing concentrated, repeated attention on such connections may make them more enduring by increasing their perceived importance.


Chapter 9 - Instant Influence: Primitive Consent for an Automatic Age

Modern lift is different from that of any earlier time. Owing to remarkable technological advances, information is burgeoning, alternatives are multiplying, and knowledge is exploding. In this avalache of change and choice, we have had to adjust. One fundamental adjustment has come in the way we make decisions. Although we all wish to make the most thoughtful, fully considered decision possible in any situation, the changing form and accelerating pace of modern life frequently deprive us of the proper conditions for such a careful analysis of all the relevant pros and cons. More and more, we are forced to resort to another decision-making approach - a shortcut approach in which the decision to comply (or agree or believe or buy) is made on the basis of a single, usually reliable piece of information. The most reliable and, therefore, more popular such single triggers for compliance are those described in the book. they are commitments, opportunities for reciprocation, the compliant behaviour of similar others, feelings of liking or unity, authority directives, and scarcity information.

Because of the increasing tendency for cognitive overload in our society, the prevalence of shortcut decision-making is likely to increase proportionately. Compliance professionals who infuse their requests with one or another of the levers of influence are more likely to be successful. The use of these levers by practitioners is not necessarily exploitative. It only becomes so when the lever is not a natural feature of the situation but is fabricated by the practitioner. In order to retain the beneficial character of shortcut response, it is important to oppose such fabrication by all appropriate means.





The book called 'Stolen Focus' by the British journalist Johann Hari, takes a close look at what’s happening, and what’s happened to our collective attention. Hari argues that we’re all becoming lost in our own lives, which feel more and more like a parade of diversions. And it seems to be getting worse and worse every year.

In Stolen Focus, Hari sets out on a global investigative journey into our shortening attention spans. Drawing on more than two hundred interviews with the world's leading experts on attention problems Stolen Focus moves beyond individual solutions towards a collective understanding of a problem facing us all. Only by first solving the attention crisis Hari argues can we turn to fixing the issues we care about most and sustain the attention to build a better society.

Johann Hari is a writer and journalist. He has written for the New York Times, Le Monde, the Guardian, and other newspapers. He was a columnist for The Independent and the Huffington Post, and has won awards for his war reporting.


Key learnings

Our attention spans are shrinking as a result of our accelerated pace of life and speed of communication. The internet, especially the rise of apps and platforms that prey on our focus, has supercharged this attention drain. And it’s not due to a personal flaw or individual weakness. Most of these attention-grabbing methods are intentional; they’re elaborately designed for the very purpose of keeping you distracted. To combat them we need large-scale, systemic change – on an individual level, as well as from the tech designers that invented these systems in the first place.


It’s not just you – everyone is struggling to focus

Unless you’re living off the grid, you’ve probably noticed that it’s getting increasingly difficult to focus. You’re busy all the time, yet you struggle to actually get anything done.

In 2016, Sune Lehmann was having these exact problems. His capacity for deep focus was dwindling, and he was more susceptible to distractions than ever before. Lehmann is a professor at Denmark’s Technical University – so he didn’t simply dismiss the nagging feeling that his concentration was waning. Instead, he spearheaded a study to find out if there was actually evidence to back up his suspicion.

By analyzing various metrics across online platforms, Lehmann and his team discovered something interesting: In 2013, conversation topics trended on Twitter for an average of 17.5 hours before people lost interest and moved on to a new topic. By 2016, that number had dwindled to 11.6 hours. That’s a six-hour decrease in only three years. The study records similar results across platforms like Google and Reddit as well. In short, the more time we’ve spent in online spaces, the shorter our attention spans have become.

So, is it really just the internet that’s eroding our focus? Well, yes. But also no. See, Lehmann also analyzed every book that’s been uploaded to Google Books between the 1880s and today. And he found that this phenomenon actually predates the internet. With every passing decade, trending topics appear and fade with increasing speed. Lehmann’s study is indicative rather than comprehensive, of course. And measuring these metrics isn’t a definitive way to map our evolving attention spans. But, if we accept the premise that our concentration is suffering, the next question is: Why?

It’s difficult to pinpoint precisely, but a good jumping-off point is what think-tank director Robert Colvile calls “The Great Acceleration.” Essentially, the way we receive information is speeding up. In the nineteenth century, for example, news could take days to travel from place to place. Then, technologies like the telegraph, radio, and television sped up the spread of information. On top of this, our information inputs – the different modes through which we receive information – have multiplied. In 1986, the average Westerner ingested the equivalent of 40 newspapers a day through the various available information inputs. By 2004, that figure had risen to an astonishing 174 newspapers worth of information. Today, that figure is almost certainly much higher. The internet has undeniably supercharged this acceleration. Now, information is not only available to us all the time; it actually intrudes on our lives through the ceaseless pings and notifications coming from our laptops and smartphones.

And our brains just haven’t caught up with this acceleration. Research suggests they never will. Our capacity for focus is an emergent field of study. But research in the area of speed-reading suggests that there’s a finite limit to how quickly we can process information. And, as neuroscientists point out, the cognitive capacity of the human brain has not significantly changed in the last 40,000 years. The amount of information we put into our brains has, however, stratospherically increased. It’s really no wonder we sometimes find it difficult to focus.


Apps and online platforms are addictive by design, not by accident

Facebook, Instagram, Twitter – the fact that these apps and other online platforms suck so much of your time isn’t a design flaw. They’re supposed to be addictive. After all, there’s a reason Silicon Valley calls its customers “users.” And where did this design originate? It originated at the Persuasive Technologies Lab at Stanford University. In the early 2000s, the lab asked whether the theories of influential behavioral psychologists could be incorporated into computer code – in other words, it asked whether tech can change human behavior. And the answer to that question was yes tech can change human behavior.

One of the psychologists studied in the lab was B. F. Skinner. Skinner was famous for the experiments he conducted on rats. He’d present a rat with a meaningless task, like pushing a button. But the rat showed no interest in doing this. So Skinner modified the task. Now, every time the rat pressed the button, it would be rewarded with a pellet of food. Rewards would motivate animals, Skinner found, to carry out tasks that had no intrinsic meaning to them. Skinner inspired the creation of other buttons you might recognize: like buttons, share buttons, and comment buttons. Those little hearts and emojis and retweet buttons aren’t design quirks; they’re programming us to use social media in addictive ways by rewarding us for the time we spend on the platforms.

These buttons keep us engaging longer. But they’re only one of the many design elements geared at keeping us online. Here’s another one: the infinite scroll. Back in the early days of the internet, web pages were just that: pages. Sites often comprised multiple pages; when you got to the bottom of one, you clicked through to the next. The bottom of each page offered a built-in pause. If you wanted to keep browsing, you had to actively decide to click ahead.

That is, until Aza Raskin stepped in. Raskin invented the infinite scroll – the endlessly refreshing feed of content that now features on the interface of nearly every social media platform, giving the impression that there is a never-ending supply of content. If likes and shares encourage users to stay online longer, the infinite scroll encourages users to stay online in perpetuity.

Raskin, however, has come to regret his invention. At first, he thought the infinite scroll was elegant and efficient. But he became troubled when he noticed how it was changing online habits – including his own. Noticing that he was spending longer and longer on social media, Raskin started to do the math. He estimates that the infinite scroll induces the average user to spend 50 percent more time on platforms like Facebook and Twitter.

The business model of most of these platforms is predicated on time – or, as they call it, engagement. This refers to how much time a user spends interacting with a product. That’s the metric tech companies use to measure their success – not money, but minutes. But money does play a part, too. Because the longer you spend “engaging,” the more chances the companies have to sell advertisements. The more you engage, the more companies track your behavior and build a profile uniquely designed to target you with specific ads. We don’t pay for platforms like Facebook and Instagram with our money. But we do pay with another precious, finite commodity: our attention.

In Silicon Valley, time equals money. The money is theirs. And the time – the attention – is yours.



Algorithms privilege outrage over community

Online platforms erode our focus and exploit one of our most precious resources – our attention – for their own financial gain. But these same platforms can be a force for good, strengthening community and driving collective action.

To better understand this potential, let’s travel to the Complexo do Alemão favela in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The Brazilian government takes a militant approach to this crowded, low-income area, routinely sending in tanks to suppress unrest. And it’s an open secret that the police shoot to kill. When innocent kids get in the way of their bullets, the police plant drugs or weapons on them and claim self-defense.
Raull Santiago lives in Alemão. He also runs the Facebook page “Coletivo Papo Reto,” which collects and disseminates videos of the police shooting innocent people. The page has galvanized many favela-dwellers to rally against their treatment. And it has shifted the tide of public opinion in Brazil, where favelas like Alemão are often reviled. But the situation in Alemão has only gotten worse since the election of Brazil’s far-right president, Jair Bolsonaro. And here’s the thing: Bolsonaro’s victory, like Coletivo Papo Reto’s success, can also be partly attributed to Facebook. Bolsonaro’s campaign inundated social media with clickbaity, fear-mongering campaigns – and he ended up getting elected.

What connects us can also divide us. Lately, it feels like online platforms have been much more intent on dividing than connecting. And it all has to do with algorithms. The content you see on this infinitely refreshing page isn’t ordered chronologically. It’s arranged by an algorithm that is programmed to feed us content that keeps us scrolling longer. It’s easier to disengage from calm, positive content. But if something strikes us as outrageous or controversial, we tend to keep looking. It’s part of a psychological phenomenon called negativity bias – that is, negative experiences impact us more than positive ones. So it’s in social media’s interest to literally provoke its users.

The algorithm has no ethics. It doesn’t condone or condemn; it just codes. But the people watching it feel, believe, and judge. For some, the more they’re exposed to misinformation, the more normal – even credible – it seems. A 2018 study that analyzed extreme right-wing militants in the US found that the majority of them were initially radicalized on YouTube.

You may not engage with misinformation online. You might put down your phone or close your laptop when you feel outraged by what you see online. You may choose not to spend your attention on provocative content. But this still affects you. See, when online platforms privilege divisive, shocking content, they also corrode our power for collective attention – our ability, as a society, to focus on issues that affect us.

Back in the ’70s, scientists discovered that there was a hole in the Ozone layer. It had been created by a group of chemicals called CFCs, which are commonly used in hairsprays. The scientists issued a warning: if the hole in the ozone grew, we would lose a crucial layer of protection against the sun’s rays. Life on earth as we knew it was at risk. Activists campaigned against the use of CFCs. They persuaded their fellow citizens to join the cause. Eventually, they put enough pressure on governments that the use of CFCs was banned. This is an environmental success story. But the outcome might have been different if we hadn’t focused our collective attention – first on the science, then on the arguments of our fellow citizens, and finally on the group effort of lobbying the governments for a total ban on CFCs. Would we be able to collectively train our focus on a similar issue today? Climate change poses a real and present danger to life on earth. But as a species, we can’t seem to absorb the science – or even agree on whether we should be listening to scientists in the first place.

Social media can be a powerful force for good. But rather than harness this force, platforms like Facebook are intent on exploiting our attention – and, as a consequence, they’re sowing division and controversy.

Recently, Facebook conducted an internal investigation called “Common Ground.” Its aim was to uncover whether the company’s algorithms really did promote controversy and misinformation to keep users engaged. According to the report, the findings were very clear: “Our algorithms exploit the human brain’s attraction to divisiveness.” Facebook hasn’t done very much about this disturbing finding, however. And neither have we. We’re too busy infinitely scrolling.


Ditch multitasking – recovering focus is about finding flow

It’s easy – and not inaccurate – to blame our shrinking attention spans on our devices and the easy access they offer to an attention-sucking online world. But, like an artfully cropped Instagram snap, that’s not the whole picture. See, there’s a fundamental flaw in the way we frame “focus.”

We live in an accelerating, consumerist society – one that values speed and output. And in this climate, we’re encouraged to “quantify” our attention in terms of what immediate results it yields. Our focus is a resource that allows us to produce, to earn, to tick items off our to-do lists. And that’s where multitasking comes in. The more we can simultaneously achieve, the better our focus is spent. So why not distribute our attention across several tasks at once? Well because, as it turns out, humans are really bad at multitasking. The word “multitask” was coined by computer scientists in the ’60s to describe the function of computers with multiple processors. It was never meant to be applied to humans. After all, we only have one processor: our brain.

When we multitask, we’re not simultaneously performing several tasks at once. We’re switching between them at hyperspeed. And every switch incurs what’s called a “switch-cost” effect. When you switch between tasks – or when you’re interrupted mid-task – your brain needs to recalibrate, which decreases your mental performance. A study commissioned by Hewlett Packard compared a group who worked on a task uninterrupted with a group that was distracted during the course of their task. The study found that members of the distracted group temporarily dropped an average of ten IQ points while they were completing their task.

In a work climate that values multitasking as a sign of peak productivity, distraction is practically encouraged. We’re constantly answering emails, participating in multiple conversations about multiple projects, and working across three or four different computer screens. In fact, in the US, the average white-collar worker spends 40 percent of their time engaging in so-called multitasking.

Luckily, there is an antidote to multitasking – a way of approaching tasks that cultivates deep focus. The psychologist Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi first identified this state, which he called “flow.” You find your flow, Csikszentmihalyi theorized, when you become so absorbed by a task that you lose all sense of your surroundings and are able to access a deep well of internal focus. In flow, your focus becomes deeper and better, and you’re far less susceptible to distractions.

The good news, according to Cskiszentmihalyi, is that everyone can access flow – as long as they meet a few key conditions. 
  1. First, the task you’re tackling needs to be intrinsically rewarding; when you’re in flow, it’s the process rather than the product that engages you.
  2. Second, the task should be challenging enough to demand your full attention – but not so difficult that you’re tempted to give up on it.
  3. Finally, monotasking is essential. To tap into that wellspring of focus, you need to direct all your mental energy toward a single task.

High-performing individuals like athletes, musicians, and scientists often attribute their achievements to their ability to access flow states. But in a society that has decided multitasking is a virtue – and that values speed and output over deep focus – the average person is finding it harder and harder to achieve flow.



We can get our attention back

In a world obsessed with multitasking, making room for other forms of focus, like flow, is a radical act. And it’s possible – but it’s not as simple as slowing down and switching off. Activating airplane mode won’t do much as long as you live and work in a system that encourages you to multitask, privileges productivity at all costs, and encourages you to spend increasing amounts of time in online spaces designed to sap your focus. It’s the system itself that needs to change.

Luckily, change may be on the horizon in Silicon Valley, where disillusioned designers are beginning to push back against our attention crisis. Former Google engineer Tristan Harris, as well as Aza Raskin – yes, the same Aza who designed the infinite scroll – want to see a non-predatory social media rise from the ashes of our current attention spans. Social media was designed to steal our attention. But Harris and Raskin are certain it could be redesigned to give our attention back. What would this new social media landscape look like? They have a few ideas.

The infinite scroll would be turned off, for one thing. All those little “rewards” like hearts and likes and shares might be turned off, too. You could instead receive a daily roundup of what’s happened on your feed, designed to discourage you from checking multiple times a day. And technology’s power to influence human behavior could be used for good. You could tell the platform how much time you wanted to spend online, and it could work with you to achieve that goal. It could help you achieve other goals, too. Want to try going vegan? The platform could connect you with online groups that share vegan recipes. Concerned about climate change? The platform could link you up with local activist groups, both on and offline. 

Around the globe, real pushback against our collective attention crisis is seeing inspiring results. Perpetual Guardian, a New Zealand company, instituted a four-day work week. Employees have since reported a better work-life balance, the ability to focus deeper for longer, and decreased susceptibility to distractions. And it’s not just employees who are reaping the benefits. Shorter workdays and workweeks enable deep focus instead of performative multitasking, and they encourage workers to avoid workplace distractions – like sneaking a scroll through social media when the boss isn’t looking. In fact, when a Toyota factory in Gothenburg cut its workday by two hours, workers actually produced at 114 percent of their previous capacity, and the factory reported 25 percent more profit.

In France, the escalating demands on our focus are seen for what they are: a health crisis. French doctors grew concerned about the rising number of patients experiencing “le burnout” and took those concerns to the government. Now, companies with over 50 employees have to formally agree on the limits of their workweek – meaning it may actually be illegal for a French boss to send their employees emails over the weekend.

In the big picture, these are all small changes. But they should leave us feeling optimistic. They show that there are solutions to this collective attention crisis. We can reclaim our attention . . . if only we can focus on the task at hand.


Actionable advice

Don’t focus harder on your task – instead, let your mind wander.

Doing nothing is actually a valuable form of focus because it facilitates creativity, which arises when you make unexpected mental connections and associations. The longer you can let your thoughts drift, the more unexpected associations your mind can create – which just might help you reclaim some of your stolen focus.



'The Attention Merchants' is a book written by Tim Wu, author, activist and law professor at Columbia University. Wu is also known for coining the term 'net neutrality'– the idea that the oligopoly that owns our internet infrastructure shouldn’t charge differently for different kinds of data. In his book The Attention Merchants, he targets another kind of corporate domination, the industry that monopolises our attention.

This book is a revelatory look at the rise of the 'attention merchants', the advertising marketeers who influence and control our consumption in ways previously unimagined. An 'attention merchant' is an industrial-scale harvester of human attention, a firm whose business model is the mass capture of attention for resale to advertisers.

In nearly every moment of our waking lives, we face a barrage of advertising enticements, branding efforts, sponsored social media, commercials and other efforts to harvest our attention. Over the last century, few times or spaces have remained uncultivated by the 'attention merchants', contributing to the distracted, unfocused tenor of our times. Tim Wu argues that this is not simply the byproduct of recent inventions but the end result of more than a century's growth and expansion in the industries that feed on human attention.

Wu makes clear that attention merchants grow ever-new heads, and their means of harvesting our attention have given rise to the defining industries of our time, changing our nature - cognitive, social, and otherwise - in ways unimaginable even a generation ago.




Key learnings

  • about the subtle inner workings of branding
  • why social media is so addictive
Over the course of the modern era, the business of advertising has experienced several dramatic shifts. From the small, informational notices that used to populate newspapers to the algorithmically driven internet ads of today, advertising is a field with a rich and compelling history. 


Newspaper advertisements used to be strictly informational until one New York paper change the game forever

Ads in the earliest newspapers, which date back to the start of the eighteenth century for the most part were informational. They weren't as persuasive or loaded with gripping rhetoric. Instead they were simply there to impart facts. 

Then in 1833, a young journalist and businessman named Benjamin Day changed everything. Day set out to launch his own newspaper called the 'New York Sun'. To reach a large audience, he began selling each copy for just a penny. With rival papers like the New York Times, the Morning Courier and the New York Enquirer each selling for six cents per copy, Day's paper was a much more affordable option. However, selling paper so cheaply was bound to generate a loss, as the cost of production would exceed the income from sales. 

To overcome this obstacle, Day invited businesses to place ads in his paper, charging them a fee for the exposure. Within just months, the paper had become an enormous success, selling thousands of copies a day. By the end of the year, the advertisements were bringing massive surplus. Within two years, the paper was number one in New York city.

Day had shown, unintentionally, how a newspaper could be about more than just news. It could also do business and literally resell the attention of its audience.



Advertising was used to make a fortune on useless medicine and reinforce the British Army during World War 1

It’s not exactly common knowledge, but early in the twentieth century, advertising for commercial over-the-counter medicine, or medicine as it was then known, was revolutionised. This shift was the work of Claude C. Hopkins, an innovative ad man and copywriter, then colloquially referred to as a “scheme man.” For several years, Hopkins wrote ads for Dr. Shoop’s Restorative, a company that sold patent medicine. While there, he came up with a plan for “direct mail” advertising, what we now lovingly call “spam mail.”

From there he went to Chicago, where he was recruited by Douglas Smith to advertise his product, Liquozone. Liquozone was comparable to most other patent medicines in that it promised to cure just about whatever ailed you, from a cough to cancer and even malaria. Hopkins then continued innovating by coming up with the idea of free samples. Millions were lured into making purchases only to later realize how useless the medicine actually was. Nonetheless, Hopkins was content; by 1904, he and Smith had raked in the modern-day equivalent of $100 million in revenue.

But attention harvesting wasn’t just a cash cow for patent medicine. As World War I ignited across Europe in 1914, advertising was even used to raise an army. Leading up to the invasion of Germany, Britain was in dire need of reinforcements for its military. With a series of victories under its belt, the German Imperial Army was almost 4.5 million strong compared to Britain’s army of just a few hundred thousand.

So, the British army expanded its forces through a series of comprehensive, state-run advertising campaigns, also known as propaganda. They plastered the country’s buses, buildings and telephone poles with posters that declared the country’s need for army volunteers to ensure the nation’s survival. The plan worked perfectly and, by 1915, around 2.75 million men had enlisted of their own free will.


In the 1920s, advertising and branding became more methodical

In the years after World War I, advertising moved forward into a new age. Twenty years into the twentieth century, a new term became quite popular: scientific advertising. It referred to a new view of advertising as a calculated practice involving specific approaches that could be sure to grab an audience’s attention. From then on, there was no element of chance about it; advertising was considered to be a science like any other.

One of these “scientific” approaches was demand engineering, which wasn’t just about creating demand for a product, but about advertising a problem. Generally, these problems would be ones that people didn’t even know existed, and were often entirely fabricated. Naturally, the perceived problem was then utilised as a means to get people to buy a product that claimed to solve it.

A prime example of this concept in action was the case of a toothpaste produced by Listerine, which launched an advertising campaign that used a clinical sounding term, “halitosis,” to refer to bad breath and suggested that having this condition would make you deeply unpopular. Demand for the product skyrocketed as a result, as did the company’s revenue: Listerine’s annual earnings went from $115,000 in 1922 to a whopping $8 million in 1929.

And demand wasn’t all that was being engineered in the 1920s – reputations were too. While we now simply call this practice branding and see it as an essential aspect of any business, it was the advertisers of the 1920s who realised that a good reputation could simply be engineered. A company didn’t have to put in years of hard work and dedication to earn the trust of its customers; instead, a brand could simply be devised and broadcast.

For instance, the copywriter Theodore MacManus brought Cadillac cars to the summit of their market through the subtle branding that Cadillacs carried “The Penalty of Leadership.” The implication was that no product could become a world standard without inspiring, and having to deal with, the envy of others. To see how well this worked, you need only consider the fact that the word “Cadillac” is to this day used as an adjective to describe something of the highest quality in any context.


Radio and television were the successful attention-grabbers of the twentieth century.

During the first few decades of the twentieth century, advertising was primarily focused on public space. But as the 1920s came to an end, that all changed. Radio advertising was becoming the new big thing, piping its message right into the homes of consumers. Sellers could now sponsor radio content like serial programs or orchestral performances that aired regularly. This was to the tremendous benefit of sponsors, since the mere mention of a company’s name was a great way to attract attention.

Take the toothpaste brand, Pepsodent. When the public found out that Pepsodent toothpaste didn’t actually contain any cleaning agents, sales of the product plummeted. Not only that, but toward the end of the 1920s, competition was getting stiffer in their sector, with many more dental hygiene products entering an increasingly lucrative market. So, to reclaim its place in the market, the general manager of Pepsodent, Walter Templin, invested in and began sponsoring Amos ‘n’ Andy, one of the earliest “prime-time” serial radio programs, which turned out to be a tremendous success. By 1931, 40 to 50 million listeners out of a total US population of around 120 million were tuning in every night to follow this enthralling soap opera. And every night, those same listeners heard the sponsor’s message, praising the incredible new formula of Pepsodent.

But radio’s time in the spotlight wouldn’t last; just a few decades later, television stepped into its place. By the 1950s, TVs were in the homes of countless Americans, grabbing their attention in a most captivating way.The number of home televisions in the United States rose from just nine percent in 1950 to 72 percent in 1956. And TV was so good at holding the attention of its audience that, by the close of the 1950s, the average viewer was spending five hours a day in front of the tube! An advertiser's dream!


Email made it easier to reach people and grab their attention.

So TV transformed advertising in the 1950s, but it wouldn’t be long before a new ad revolution began to swell with the launch of the internet. This groundbreaking technology entered its infancy just two decades later, in the 1970s. However, at its outset, the internet wasn’t very useful – it would take the invention of email to begin connecting people in a truly revolutionary way.

It began in 1969, when the internet formed a network that allowed research organisations to share files between universities like UCLA and Stanford, as well as companies like IBM and government contractors like Bolt, Beranek and Newman, or BBN.

From there, in 1971, a young computer scientist at BBN by the name of Ray Tomlinson took the fledgling internet a step further by launching a system for sending not just files, but messages too.
It wasn’t long before it took off and a 1973 survey found that emails comprised 75 percent of all network traffic.

But why is email so effective at grabbing our attention? Because emails act like rewards. Consider the theory developed by the renowned scientist B.F. Skinner, who states that human behavior, just like that of animals, is controlled by stimuli, like rewards and punishments. When such stimuli occur, the actions that prompted them are reinforced or discouraged accordingly. This theory is known as operant conditioning.

But how does this relate to email? According to scientist Tom Stafford, every time we get a nice email or digital message, we get a little boost, like a reward. As this feels good, we continue searching for another one, meaning we constantly refresh our inboxes in the vain hope we’ll get another reward soon.
It’s no wonder advertisers love to send us email after email.


The internet offered a new opportunity to harvest attention, but it wasn’t immediately clear how to use it.

Google has become utterly ubiquitous in modern life, so much so that it has, of course, become its own verb. And it’s rise has been no accident. Google was founded in the late 1990s, at a time when the internet was becoming more and more crowded and relevant content was becoming harder to find. It was nothing like TV, where you could easily move from channel to channel, knowing what you were looking for. Google thus made a name for itself as a way of solving this issue.

Its search engine went above and beyond competitors like Yahoo!, Lycos and AltaVista by way of a powerful algorithm, tight code and simple design. As a result, it rapidly became the number-one choice for internet users. As a result, Google could harvest loads of attention. While it wasn’t immediately clear to the founders, Sergey Brin and Larry Page, how to monetize that attention, they soon found a way: advertising.

But this was not to be the regular, nonstop bombardment style of traditional ads. Google’s founders were determined to maintain their transparent, algorithm-driven search engine and keep it free of bias. In other words, they didn’t want companies to be able to buy their way to the top of search results.<So, in collaboration with the Canadian mathematician Erik Veach, Brin and Page invented a new system known as Adwords, an advertising tool that only displays advertisements that are relevant to a user’s interests. Therefore, if a Google search isn’t clear enough to identify a specific need or interest, no ads will appear.


Celebrities capture our attention like no other entity.

Celebrities are powerful attention harvesters around which a lucrative industry is centered. Consider the incredible success of People magazine, a publication focused solely on celebrities, published by the renowned Time-Life Inc. When the first issue of People hit the newsstands in 1974, it sold around 1 million copies. But despite decades of academic inquiry, there are still no convincing explanations for why celebrities captivate our attention so thoroughly. That being said, the powerful reaction that celebrities prompt in average humans has led many scholars to draw parallels with traditions of worship that are commonly known to involve descriptions of transcending the banality of life and getting a glimpse of the extraordinary or the infinite.So, even though we aren’t sure exactly why, the lives of celebrities remain a constant pull on our attentions.




Former FBI agent Robin Dreeke shares his simple toolkit for assessing who you can trust and who you can't. Dreeke has worked for two decades as a behaviour analyst in the FBI, through that experience he has developed a knack for reading people, their intentions, their capabilities, their desires and their fears. This book is a manual to be able to quickly and easily determine who you can trust and who you can't. It helps readers to determine who is likely to deliver on promises and who will disappoint, and when a person is vested in your success versus when they are actively plotting your demise. 

So much of your success, from your career to your family life depends on being able to differentiate between people you can trust and people you can't. This book teaches the subtle behavioural signs the people around you are giving off and how you can read those signs to make better decisions about whom to trust. It teaches you how to gather data that really matters about a person, from the language they use to their past behaviour to their personal appearance. You'll learn to look beyond the obvious to the hidden and reveal the true inner character. This is a how-to-guide to decide which people you should never let go and those you should keep at a distance.


Key Learnings

  • The three personality traits of emotionally unstable people
  • Why you can't trust someone who can't apologise
One of the most predicable things about human beings is that we will almost always act in our own best interests. This might sound selfish, but doing what's right for us is also healthy and necessary for our survival. So when you're trying to determine how someone will act in the future, think about that they want. Then you'll know how they will behave.


People's behaviour can often be predicted by their circumstances

When you're trying to predict how someone will act towards you, consider how much immunity do they have from the consequence of their behaviour. It's often said that power tends to corrupt, sadly this tends to be true. When someone has a lot of power, perhaps in the form of wealth or high status position, then they have the freedom to behave badly. The reason for this is, the are protected from the consequence of their behaviour. It's harder to predict how a powerful person will behave because in many situations they can do whatever they like.

The flip side it's easier to predict the behaviour of someone who is highly vulnerable. A vulnerable person is easier to punish when they break the rules, so they often feel they must behave a certain way and that makes their actions more predictable.

To accurately size someone up, bear in mind how long your relationship with that person is likely to last. This matters because, in shorter relationships, people are more likely to behave badly because they won't be around to face the consequences of their behaviour. On the other hand, a longer relationship leaves a lot more time for them to be either rewarded or punished for their actions, so thee is a stronger incentive to behave well. 

Intuition is unreliable, it usually means we trust those we like and distrust those we don't which is not always accurate. Intuition can't predict behaviour.


Put your trust in those who believe that they win when you win

It's important to identify those individuals who believe that your success is their success too. These people will go to great lengths to help you achieve things. They will shield you from negative outcomes and identify ways to further your interest. 

  1. Look out for people who are happy to adapt their working style to fit yours and who are willing to work at your pace. They're showing you that they will inconvenience themselves to help you reach your full potential.
  2. People who are invested in you are willing to do you favours, even when you don't ask for them. Interestingly, helping you out actually makes them even more disposed to like you. The reason for this is, disliking someone after helping them creates cognitive dissonance (Benjamin Franklin Effect). This is the uncomfortable sensation of behaving one way and feeling a different way. People tend to try to avoid cognitive dissonance. So, if a person helps you, that person's feelings toward you will also improve.
  3. It's crucial to identify the people who do not think that your success is their success, especially in the workplace. It you're working for someone who isn't invested in your future, it might be time to consider seeking new professional opportunities.

You can't trust someone who doesn't trust you

Human relationships often boil down to one simple question, 'Can I trust this person?' But if you want an accurate answer, then you're going to have to ask yourself something else too: 'How much do they trust you?'

First try to put your ego aside during conversations. When we see someone displaying egotistical behaviour, it makes us defensive, suspicious and cold. We don't trust self-centered people to be fair to us which makes us behave unfairly toward them. It's the only way to make sure we won't get cheated. So to gain people's trust make them feel as if you're interested in them rather than yourself. Never boast and don't even mention your achievement unless you're specifically asked. Another way to gain trust is to make others feel validated. Once people feel validated they will feel comfortable enough to be their authentic self and trust will soon follow. 

Unsurprisingly we are more likely to trust givers than takers. To boost trust levels in any relationships, try to give other people more than what they expect from you (hmmmm.... not entirely sure about this). Most people remember when their expectations have been exceeded and act generously in return. 


Most of the ways we assess people's reliability are unreliable

Ways to gauge whether a potential recruit is reliable is, instead of exploring their professional history try to get a feel for an applicant's whole life. Someone who is competent and reliable in the workplace tends to be like this in every other area of life too. People who aren't competent on their own time probably won't be on yours either. Pay attention to self-presentation. Unreliable people are often careless with their appearance. When potential recruits seem to neglect personal appearance, they are telling you that they are unhappy with themselves.



One of the best indications of future behaviour is past behaviour

One pattern of behaviour is loyalty. If someone has your back when it would be easier for them to bad-mouth you, that's a sign that you can trust them in the future. 

One negative behaviour pattern that should be a trust deal-breaker is when someone repeatedly gossips to you about other people. 

This is an indicator of underlying insecurity. Insecure people tend to judge others to feel better about themselves. Tread carefully because you never know when you will become the subject of one of their tales. 

On the other hand, a positive behaviour pattern is when someone always walks away when the conversation turns to gossip. This tells you that this person is a healthy, secure person who is not interested in dwelling on the problems or minor flaws of others. They are only interested in having healthy relationships.

Most dangerous behaviour is inconsistency. Be wary of people who constantly behave in unpredictable ways and have a track record of not doing what they say they will. Such people are showing you that they can't be trusted. In a crisis situation there is almost nothing worse than an inconsistent person. 


Trustworthy people use simple language and aren't afraid to apologise

Trustworthy people tend to speak simply and clearly. This is because they are confident and secure in their ideas. They have no need to dress them up with long words or florid sentences. In contrast, untrustworthy people tend to be insecure and will often confuse you with complex language. They do this to conceal a lack of confidence, either in themselves or in their ideas. Also, don't be fooled by people who talk very fast or who are overly smooth. People you can really trust are straight-talkers and don't need a lot of words.

People you can trust also use words like often, sometimes, and frequently, rather than words like always or never.

Look out for people who use this sort of absolutist language because it tends to provoke conflict. In the real world, absolutes are rare and so it's dishonest to frequently use words like "never". Instead look out for people who use more moderate words like "often" or "sometimes". This tells you that they are fairer, more honest and more keen to keep the peace with other people. 

It's also a good idea to keep your distance from people who can't fully apologise for their mistakes. Errors is part of being human. Trustworthy people can shoulder blame, apologise and move on. Whereas untrustworthy people will become defensive. 


Emotionally unstable people have certain traits that you should look out for

When you're considering placing your faith in someone you'll need to consider how emotionally stable they are. What are their default mindset? 

Emotionally unstable people often have what is a "3-P Personality"
  1. They believe that any hardship they experience is permanent. They can't understand that nothing lasts forever - even misfortune.
  2. They struggle to compartmentalise their life. All problems they face are pervasive, affecting every part of life. You might try to persuade them that they can compartmentalise their life but you can't change their outlook.
  3. They believe that everything that goes wrong is their fault. They personalise every misfortune. Emotionally unstable people also tend to have victim mentality. They can't differentiate between big problems and small ones. In their minds, minor issues spiral into terrifying catastrophes. What's more, fear is a highly contagious emotion. So think twice before you trust anyone who seems to turn small challenges into disasters. 
Emotionally stable mindset is ruled by love, not fear. This loving mindset primarily finds its expression in appreciation. Emotionally stable people are grateful for what they have. No time is wasted with anxiety about what they lack. Stable people tend to be at peace with themselves. They like who they are and as a result, they come across as accepting and pleasant. 

In contrast, emotionally unstable people are usually dissatisfied with themselves. This makes is difficult to form good relationships with them. People who don't like themselves, they don't tend to like anything else either and that probably includes you.

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